Data & ProbabilityProbability
The Monty Hall Trap
Switching doors doubles your chance of winning the car
One car, three doors. You pick door 1; the host opens door 3: a goat. Two doors left, so it's 50/50. Right?
You'll find out
- Whether switching really matters
- What the host knows that you don't
- How even PhDs fell for the trap
Why it matters
Updating odds as new clues arrive is the skill behind many spam filters, and behind reading a medical test right.
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